Crafte Sessions analysis 2026 09 29 2026 10 29
sessions_analysis-2026-09-29-2026-10-29.csv · 2,246 rows · 15 columns · definition v3 saved 29 Oct 2026 14:08
Answer
The biggest lever is landingPage. If everyone had /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed, the model expects 11.3% to have ordered instead of 3.3% today (+8.0 points).Association, not cause
These are the model's associations, not measured causes: people who arrive via one source may differ in ways the data doesn't hold. Test the top lever before rolling it out.Suggested test
To check landingPage = /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed: about 489 people in each group (change vs no change) to detect a move from 3.3% to 7.3% (half the model's estimate, 95% confidence, 80% power).Levers, biggest first
Model's average prediction for 2,232 snapshotsThe biggest lever is landingPage. If everyone had /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed, the model expects 11.3% to have ordered instead of 3.3% today (+8.0 points).
- The biggest lever is landingPage. If everyone had /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed, the model expects 11.3% to have ordered instead of 3.3% today (+8.0 points).
- Range: the model's average prediction for everyone at the lever's worst and best value. A wide range means the model leans on that column.
- Today: the average prediction as things are (3.3%).
- Values few people have (a rare source) give the least certain estimates: the model has seen little of them. The share of people with each value is in the detail.
- Click a lever for each of its values (or points along its range).
| Lever | Worst to best | Range | Best value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| other (1.6%) to /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed (11.3%) | +9.7 points | /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed → 11.3% | Best: /product/75-christmas-cake-boxed (11.3% expected, 3.3% today); 1.0% of people have it now. Values held by under 2% of people are the least certain.
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